Recent Japan Meteorological Agency observations and AccuWeather model runs position a 31°C high as the most probable outcome for Tokyo on August 6, with current readings near 30–31°C and limited afternoon heating expected under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. High humidity near 70–80% and light easterly winds are suppressing further rises, consistent with typical early-August conditions where Tokyo’s urban heat island effect rarely exceeds seasonal norms of 31°C without clear, stable high pressure. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on peak timing, keeping 32–33°C as plausible secondary scenarios if skies clear more than anticipated. Traders appear to weigh these observational thresholds and short-range forecast stability heavily, given the day’s proximity to resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日東京氣溫最高？
8月6日東京氣溫最高？
31°C 45%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
33°C 10%
最新
$38,237 交易量
最新
$38,237 交易量
2026-08-06
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
24%
31°C
45%
32°C
20%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
33°C 10%
最新
$38,237 交易量
最新
$38,237 交易量
2026-08-06
26°C or below
$1,061 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,173 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,907 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5,833 交易量
4%
30°C
$4,522 交易量
24%
31°C
$5,522 交易量
45%
32°C
$3,759 交易量
20%
33°C
$3,557 交易量
10%
34°C
$3,816 交易量
2%
35°C
$3,242 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,846 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency observations and AccuWeather model runs position a 31°C high as the most probable outcome for Tokyo on August 6, with current readings near 30–31°C and limited afternoon heating expected under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. High humidity near 70–80% and light easterly winds are suppressing further rises, consistent with typical early-August conditions where Tokyo’s urban heat island effect rarely exceeds seasonal norms of 31°C without clear, stable high pressure. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on peak timing, keeping 32–33°C as plausible secondary scenarios if skies clear more than anticipated. Traders appear to weigh these observational thresholds and short-range forecast stability heavily, given the day’s proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$38,237結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency observations and AccuWeather model runs position a 31°C high as the most probable outcome for Tokyo on August 6, with current readings near 30–31°C and limited afternoon heating expected under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. High humidity near 70–80% and light easterly winds are suppressing further rises, consistent with typical early-August conditions where Tokyo’s urban heat island effect rarely exceeds seasonal norms of 31°C without clear, stable high pressure. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on peak timing, keeping 32–33°C as plausible secondary scenarios if skies clear more than anticipated. Traders appear to weigh these observational thresholds and short-range forecast stability heavily, given the day’s proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,237結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency observations and AccuWeather model runs position a 31°C high as the most probable outcome for Tokyo on August 6, with current readings near 30–31°C and limited afternoon heating expected under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. High humidity near 70–80% and light easterly winds are suppressing further rises, consistent with typical early-August conditions where Tokyo’s urban heat island effect rarely exceeds seasonal norms of 31°C without clear, stable high pressure. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on peak timing, keeping 32–33°C as plausible secondary scenarios if skies clear more than anticipated. Traders appear to weigh these observational thresholds and short-range forecast stability heavily, given the day’s proximity to resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions