Mexico City's high elevation near 2,240 meters and frequent North American monsoon-driven afternoon convection and cloud cover keep daily maximum temperatures moderated, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and model consensus for August 7 point to a peak near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers likely suppressing stronger insolation. Historical August climatology shows averages of 23–24°C, with rare excursions above 26°C when drier, clearer conditions allow greater radiative heating. Traders weigh these factors alongside any last-minute forecast updates on precipitation timing or wind patterns that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日墨西哥城的最高溫度?
24°C 39%
25°C 30%
23°C 24%
26°C 8%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
24%
24°C
39%
25°C
30%
26°C
8%
27°C或更高
1%
24°C 39%
25°C 30%
23°C 24%
26°C 8%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
24%
24°C
39%
25°C
30%
26°C
8%
27°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mexico City's high elevation near 2,240 meters and frequent North American monsoon-driven afternoon convection and cloud cover keep daily maximum temperatures moderated, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and model consensus for August 7 point to a peak near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers likely suppressing stronger insolation. Historical August climatology shows averages of 23–24°C, with rare excursions above 26°C when drier, clearer conditions allow greater radiative heating. Traders weigh these factors alongside any last-minute forecast updates on precipitation timing or wind patterns that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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