Latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a peak of 34–35°C in Taipei on August 6, aligning with the market's leading 35°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Typical August highs average 32–34°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon showers that can cap temperatures, though recent days have reached 36°C under clearer skies. Model consensus favors partly cloudy conditions with isolated rain, limiting further warming while the urban heat island effect supports the upper end of the range. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日臺北氣溫最高?
35°C 45%
36°C 30%
34°C 16%
37°C 4%
$14,625 交易量
$14,625 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
45%
36°C
30%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 45%
36°C 30%
34°C 16%
37°C 4%
$14,625 交易量
$14,625 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
45%
36°C
30%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to a peak of 34–35°C in Taipei on August 6, aligning with the market's leading 35°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Typical August highs average 32–34°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon showers that can cap temperatures, though recent days have reached 36°C under clearer skies. Model consensus favors partly cloudy conditions with isolated rain, limiting further warming while the urban heat island effect supports the upper end of the range. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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