Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies show Paris overnight lows on August 7 converging near 12–13°C, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow behind the recent heat wave that advects cooler maritime air and promotes radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This follows daytime highs around 25–28°C on August 6–7, with minimal cloud cover and lighter winds expected to allow temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus support the market’s heavy weighting toward 12°C (49%) and 13°C (29.5%), while uncertainty in exact cloud timing keeps modest probability on 11°C and 14°C outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings ahead of the date remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日巴黎最低溫度？
8月7日巴黎最低溫度？
12°C 53%
13°C 34%
11°C 13%
14°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
9°C或以下
6%
10°C
8%
11°C
13%
12°C
49%
13°C
34%
14°C
11%
15°C
8%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
1%
12°C 53%
13°C 34%
11°C 13%
14°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
9°C或以下
$15 交易量
6%
10°C
$37 交易量
8%
11°C
$0 交易量
13%
12°C
$86 交易量
49%
13°C
$0 交易量
34%
14°C
$0 交易量
11%
15°C
$0 交易量
8%
16°C
$15 交易量
1%
17°C
$10 交易量
<1%
18°C
$10 交易量
<1%
19°C或以上
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies show Paris overnight lows on August 7 converging near 12–13°C, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow behind the recent heat wave that advects cooler maritime air and promotes radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This follows daytime highs around 25–28°C on August 6–7, with minimal cloud cover and lighter winds expected to allow temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus support the market’s heavy weighting toward 12°C (49%) and 13°C (29.5%), while uncertainty in exact cloud timing keeps modest probability on 11°C and 14°C outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings ahead of the date remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$183結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies show Paris overnight lows on August 7 converging near 12–13°C, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow behind the recent heat wave that advects cooler maritime air and promotes radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This follows daytime highs around 25–28°C on August 6–7, with minimal cloud cover and lighter winds expected to allow temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus support the market’s heavy weighting toward 12°C (49%) and 13°C (29.5%), while uncertainty in exact cloud timing keeps modest probability on 11°C and 14°C outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings ahead of the date remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$183結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national agencies show Paris overnight lows on August 7 converging near 12–13°C, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow behind the recent heat wave that advects cooler maritime air and promotes radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This follows daytime highs around 25–28°C on August 6–7, with minimal cloud cover and lighter winds expected to allow temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus support the market’s heavy weighting toward 12°C (49%) and 13°C (29.5%), while uncertainty in exact cloud timing keeps modest probability on 11°C and 14°C outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings ahead of the date remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions