Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown across northern France on August 6, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air replacing prior heat, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 15°C (45% implied probability), as ensemble runs show limited variability in overnight radiative cooling and dew-point suppression. Historical August minima in Paris average 14–15°C, providing context, while any shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could nudge the low slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日巴黎最低溫度？
8月6日巴黎最低溫度？
15°C 46%
16°C 27%
14°C 25%
13°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
12°C或以下
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
25%
15°C
46%
16°C
27%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或以上
<1%
15°C 46%
16°C 27%
14°C 25%
13°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
12°C或以下
$84 交易量
1%
13°C
$127 交易量
5%
14°C
$657 交易量
25%
15°C
$218 交易量
46%
16°C
$143 交易量
27%
17°C
$849 交易量
1%
18°C
$170 交易量
1%
19°C
$63 交易量
1%
20°C
$150 交易量
<1%
21°C
$60 交易量
<1%
22°C或以上
$60 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown across northern France on August 6, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air replacing prior heat, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 15°C (45% implied probability), as ensemble runs show limited variability in overnight radiative cooling and dew-point suppression. Historical August minima in Paris average 14–15°C, providing context, while any shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could nudge the low slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,581結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown across northern France on August 6, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air replacing prior heat, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 15°C (45% implied probability), as ensemble runs show limited variability in overnight radiative cooling and dew-point suppression. Historical August minima in Paris average 14–15°C, providing context, while any shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could nudge the low slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,581結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown across northern France on August 6, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air replacing prior heat, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 15°C (45% implied probability), as ensemble runs show limited variability in overnight radiative cooling and dew-point suppression. Historical August minima in Paris average 14–15°C, providing context, while any shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could nudge the low slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions