Current forecasts from meteorological models place Paris's overnight low and early-morning minimum near 20 °C on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds, producing the market's near-certain 20 °C outcome. Official guidance highlights dry, sunny skies with daytime highs reaching 29–30 °C, consistent with typical early-August climatology for northern France. The strong consensus reflects real-time observational data and ensemble agreement that little cooling will occur overnight. A sudden shift in steering flow or unexpected cloud cover increasing longwave radiative cooling could lower readings, though such changes remain unlikely this late in the diurnal cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日巴黎最低溫度？
8月5日巴黎最低溫度？
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,846 交易量
$20,846 交易量
2026-08-05
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,846 交易量
$20,846 交易量
2026-08-05
16°C or below
$2,582 交易量
No
17°C
$530 交易量
No
18°C
$1,287 交易量
No
19°C
$4,295 交易量
No
20°C
$3,194 交易量
Yes
21°C
$5,310 交易量
No
22°C
$1,200 交易量
No
23°C
$1,022 交易量
No
24°C
$659 交易量
No
25°C
$416 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$353 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models place Paris's overnight low and early-morning minimum near 20 °C on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds, producing the market's near-certain 20 °C outcome. Official guidance highlights dry, sunny skies with daytime highs reaching 29–30 °C, consistent with typical early-August climatology for northern France. The strong consensus reflects real-time observational data and ensemble agreement that little cooling will occur overnight. A sudden shift in steering flow or unexpected cloud cover increasing longwave radiative cooling could lower readings, though such changes remain unlikely this late in the diurnal cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$20,846結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models place Paris's overnight low and early-morning minimum near 20 °C on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds, producing the market's near-certain 20 °C outcome. Official guidance highlights dry, sunny skies with daytime highs reaching 29–30 °C, consistent with typical early-August climatology for northern France. The strong consensus reflects real-time observational data and ensemble agreement that little cooling will occur overnight. A sudden shift in steering flow or unexpected cloud cover increasing longwave radiative cooling could lower readings, though such changes remain unlikely this late in the diurnal cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,846結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from meteorological models place Paris's overnight low and early-morning minimum near 20 °C on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds, producing the market's near-certain 20 °C outcome. Official guidance highlights dry, sunny skies with daytime highs reaching 29–30 °C, consistent with typical early-August climatology for northern France. The strong consensus reflects real-time observational data and ensemble agreement that little cooling will occur overnight. A sudden shift in steering flow or unexpected cloud cover increasing longwave radiative cooling could lower readings, though such changes remain unlikely this late in the diurnal cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions