Recent short-term model consensus for Chengdu points to afternoon highs of 31–33°C on August 7 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin. These conditions favor scattered afternoon convection that can cap peak readings through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping most outcomes clustered near the historical August mean of 30–32°C. Traders weigh the balance between basin heat retention and any late-day thunderstorm development that could shave a degree or two, with the narrow spread among 31–33°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final model runs expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日成都最高溫度?
32°C 26%
33°C 22%
35°C或以上 17%
31°C 16%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
26%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C或以上
17%
32°C 26%
33°C 22%
35°C或以上 17%
31°C 16%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
26%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C或以上
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term model consensus for Chengdu points to afternoon highs of 31–33°C on August 7 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin. These conditions favor scattered afternoon convection that can cap peak readings through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping most outcomes clustered near the historical August mean of 30–32°C. Traders weigh the balance between basin heat retention and any late-day thunderstorm development that could shave a degree or two, with the narrow spread among 31–33°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final model runs expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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警惕外部連結哦。
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