Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 5 point to peak afternoon temperatures of 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, aligning with typical mid-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin where subtropical highs and humidity often push maxima into this range. Official models show daytime heating building steadily from morning lows near 22–24°C, with limited cloud cover or rain expected to allow readings near or above 34°C before any late-day convection develops. Historical August averages of 30–32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and surface observations support the elevated trader-implied odds favoring 34°C or higher as the most probable outcome. Updated model runs and real-time station data later today will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日成都最高溫度？
8月5日成都最高溫度？
35°C or higher 65%
34°C 35%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$54,083 交易量
$54,083 交易量
2026-08-05
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
35%
35°C or higher
65%
35°C or higher 65%
34°C 35%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$54,083 交易量
$54,083 交易量
2026-08-05
25°C or below
$414 交易量
<1%
26°C
$328 交易量
<1%
27°C
$328 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,856 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,684 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,371 交易量
<1%
31°C
$3,490 交易量
<1%
32°C
$4,061 交易量
<1%
33°C
$19,349 交易量
<1%
34°C
$6,349 交易量
35%
35°C or higher
$12,853 交易量
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 5 point to peak afternoon temperatures of 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, aligning with typical mid-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin where subtropical highs and humidity often push maxima into this range. Official models show daytime heating building steadily from morning lows near 22–24°C, with limited cloud cover or rain expected to allow readings near or above 34°C before any late-day convection develops. Historical August averages of 30–32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and surface observations support the elevated trader-implied odds favoring 34°C or higher as the most probable outcome. Updated model runs and real-time station data later today will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$54,083結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 5 point to peak afternoon temperatures of 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, aligning with typical mid-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin where subtropical highs and humidity often push maxima into this range. Official models show daytime heating building steadily from morning lows near 22–24°C, with limited cloud cover or rain expected to allow readings near or above 34°C before any late-day convection develops. Historical August averages of 30–32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and surface observations support the elevated trader-implied odds favoring 34°C or higher as the most probable outcome. Updated model runs and real-time station data later today will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$54,083結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu on August 5 point to peak afternoon temperatures of 32–35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, aligning with typical mid-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin where subtropical highs and humidity often push maxima into this range. Official models show daytime heating building steadily from morning lows near 22–24°C, with limited cloud cover or rain expected to allow readings near or above 34°C before any late-day convection develops. Historical August averages of 30–32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and surface observations support the elevated trader-implied odds favoring 34°C or higher as the most probable outcome. Updated model runs and real-time station data later today will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions