Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Wuhan's August 5 peak near 37°C under partly sunny, hazy conditions with light winds and high humidity typical of the Yangtze River basin in peak summer. Subtropical monsoon patterns, combined with urban heat effects and minimal cooling from isolated thunderstorms, support this range over historical August averages of 32–35°C. Ensemble models show limited spread, with slight upside risk to 38°C if daytime heating intensifies before any late-day convection. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 37°C outcome, aligns with these official guidance updates rather than climatological extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日武漢氣溫最高?
37°C 89%
38°C 9%
39°C <1%
40°C or higher <1%
$26,715 交易量
$26,715 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
89%
38°C
9%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
37°C 89%
38°C 9%
39°C <1%
40°C or higher <1%
$26,715 交易量
$26,715 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
89%
38°C
9%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Wuhan's August 5 peak near 37°C under partly sunny, hazy conditions with light winds and high humidity typical of the Yangtze River basin in peak summer. Subtropical monsoon patterns, combined with urban heat effects and minimal cooling from isolated thunderstorms, support this range over historical August averages of 32–35°C. Ensemble models show limited spread, with slight upside risk to 38°C if daytime heating intensifies before any late-day convection. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 37°C outcome, aligns with these official guidance updates rather than climatological extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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