Latest forecast model consensus positions afternoon highs in Wuhan near 36–37°C on August 6, reflecting the near-even split in market-implied odds between those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light winds favor strong solar heating along the Yangtze River valley, yet increasing cloud cover and thundery showers—per NHC-style guidance analogs and regional runs—introduce uncertainty that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Historical August baselines around 35°C, combined with current humidity levels above 60% and minimal overnight cooling, underscore how small shifts in precipitation timing or urban heat retention differentiate the leading bins. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日武漢氣溫最高?
37°C 42%
36°C 36%
35°C 14%
38°C 5%
$16,045 交易量
$16,045 交易量
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
14%
36°C
36%
37°C
42%
38°C
5%
39°C
<1%
40°C或以上
<1%
37°C 42%
36°C 36%
35°C 14%
38°C 5%
$16,045 交易量
$16,045 交易量
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
14%
36°C
36%
37°C
42%
38°C
5%
39°C
<1%
40°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast model consensus positions afternoon highs in Wuhan near 36–37°C on August 6, reflecting the near-even split in market-implied odds between those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light winds favor strong solar heating along the Yangtze River valley, yet increasing cloud cover and thundery showers—per NHC-style guidance analogs and regional runs—introduce uncertainty that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Historical August baselines around 35°C, combined with current humidity levels above 60% and minimal overnight cooling, underscore how small shifts in precipitation timing or urban heat retention differentiate the leading bins. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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