Recent forecasts from global models show high uncertainty in Jeddah's precise daily maximum for August 7, with consensus clustering near 38–39 °C amid typical summer conditions. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal location introduces moderating sea breezes and elevated humidity that cap extremes compared with inland sites, while strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover in peak August support values near the long-term average high of 37–38 °C. Subtle differences in steering winds, boundary-layer mixing, or localized heat advection can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around 38 °C and 39 °C. Updated model runs and official Saudi National Center of Meteorology guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日吉達最高溫度?
38°C 30%
39°C 25%
41°C或更高 16%
37°C 15%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
10%
37°C
15%
38°C
30%
39°C
25%
40°C
12%
41°C或更高
16%
38°C 30%
39°C 25%
41°C或更高 16%
37°C 15%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
10%
37°C
15%
38°C
30%
39°C
25%
40°C
12%
41°C或更高
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from global models show high uncertainty in Jeddah's precise daily maximum for August 7, with consensus clustering near 38–39 °C amid typical summer conditions. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal location introduces moderating sea breezes and elevated humidity that cap extremes compared with inland sites, while strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover in peak August support values near the long-term average high of 37–38 °C. Subtle differences in steering winds, boundary-layer mixing, or localized heat advection can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around 38 °C and 39 °C. Updated model runs and official Saudi National Center of Meteorology guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions