Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the National Center of Meteorology and global models indicate a daily maximum of 38–40°C in Jeddah on August 6, 2026, under mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and typical Red Sea coastal humidity that moderates extremes relative to inland sites. These conditions align with August climatology of 38–40°C average highs and explain why the market assigns the highest implied probability (40.5%) to 40°C, followed closely by 41°C. Minor model spread around peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing keeps 42°C or higher at 18.5% while limiting lower outcomes, with official station readings expected to resolve the exact value by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月6日的最高溫度?
40°C 40%
41°C 23%
42°C或更高 20%
39°C 15%
32°C或以下
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
6%
39°C
15%
40°C
40%
41°C
23%
42°C或更高
20%
40°C 40%
41°C 23%
42°C或更高 20%
39°C 15%
32°C或以下
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
6%
39°C
15%
40°C
40%
41°C
23%
42°C或更高
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the National Center of Meteorology and global models indicate a daily maximum of 38–40°C in Jeddah on August 6, 2026, under mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and typical Red Sea coastal humidity that moderates extremes relative to inland sites. These conditions align with August climatology of 38–40°C average highs and explain why the market assigns the highest implied probability (40.5%) to 40°C, followed closely by 41°C. Minor model spread around peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing keeps 42°C or higher at 18.5% while limiting lower outcomes, with official station readings expected to resolve the exact value by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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