Recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–35°C on August 7, 2026, consistent with the market's concentration on 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures during early August typically reflect seasonal norms of 32°C, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and any steering influences from regional pressure systems. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon signals or anomalous heat buildup noted in the latest runs, supporting trader positioning around modest above-average readings. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities amid inherent model spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日深圳最高溫度？
8月7日深圳最高溫度？
34°C 35%
35°C 25%
33°C 21%
36°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
21%
34°C
35%
35°C
25%
36°C
9%
37°C
4%
38°C或以上
1%
34°C 35%
35°C 25%
33°C 21%
36°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
28°C或以下
$662 交易量
<1%
29°C
$434 交易量
<1%
30°C
$220 交易量
<1%
31°C
$487 交易量
2%
32°C
$333 交易量
4%
33°C
$522 交易量
21%
34°C
$1,833 交易量
35%
35°C
$1,036 交易量
25%
36°C
$874 交易量
9%
37°C
$387 交易量
4%
38°C或以上
$389 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–35°C on August 7, 2026, consistent with the market's concentration on 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures during early August typically reflect seasonal norms of 32°C, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and any steering influences from regional pressure systems. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon signals or anomalous heat buildup noted in the latest runs, supporting trader positioning around modest above-average readings. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities amid inherent model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$7,136結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–35°C on August 7, 2026, consistent with the market's concentration on 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures during early August typically reflect seasonal norms of 32°C, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and any steering influences from regional pressure systems. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon signals or anomalous heat buildup noted in the latest runs, supporting trader positioning around modest above-average readings. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities amid inherent model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,136結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–35°C on August 7, 2026, consistent with the market's concentration on 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures during early August typically reflect seasonal norms of 32°C, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and any steering influences from regional pressure systems. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon signals or anomalous heat buildup noted in the latest runs, supporting trader positioning around modest above-average readings. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities amid inherent model spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions