Official midday observations in Amsterdam have already reached 25°C, aligning with converged forecasts from the Met Office and European models that project this value as the daily maximum under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This positions the market-implied probability at 100% for a 25°C high, reflecting a modest positive anomaly above the early-August climatological baseline of 21–22°C. Resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded by official stations; modest increases in cloud cover, stronger afternoon breezes, or minor model adjustments could still alter the final observed peak without deviating far from current consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月5日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,401 交易量
$66,401 交易量
2026-08-05
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,401 交易量
$66,401 交易量
2026-08-05
20°C或以下
$2,749 交易量
否
21°C
$2,639 交易量
否
22°C
$2,916 交易量
否
23°C
$9,047 交易量
否
24°C
$11,855 交易量
否
25°C
$13,844 交易量
是
26°C
$11,371 交易量
否
27°C
$6,681 交易量
否
28°C
$1,620 交易量
否
29°C
$923 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$2,756 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official midday observations in Amsterdam have already reached 25°C, aligning with converged forecasts from the Met Office and European models that project this value as the daily maximum under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This positions the market-implied probability at 100% for a 25°C high, reflecting a modest positive anomaly above the early-August climatological baseline of 21–22°C. Resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded by official stations; modest increases in cloud cover, stronger afternoon breezes, or minor model adjustments could still alter the final observed peak without deviating far from current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$66,401結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official midday observations in Amsterdam have already reached 25°C, aligning with converged forecasts from the Met Office and European models that project this value as the daily maximum under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This positions the market-implied probability at 100% for a 25°C high, reflecting a modest positive anomaly above the early-August climatological baseline of 21–22°C. Resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded by official stations; modest increases in cloud cover, stronger afternoon breezes, or minor model adjustments could still alter the final observed peak without deviating far from current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$66,401結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official midday observations in Amsterdam have already reached 25°C, aligning with converged forecasts from the Met Office and European models that project this value as the daily maximum under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This positions the market-implied probability at 100% for a 25°C high, reflecting a modest positive anomaly above the early-August climatological baseline of 21–22°C. Resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded by official stations; modest increases in cloud cover, stronger afternoon breezes, or minor model adjustments could still alter the final observed peak without deviating far from current consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions