Forecast consensus from NOAA and regional models supports a daily high near 100°F for Dallas on August 5, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds favor strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies, pushing temperatures above the early-August climatological average of 96°F. Recent model guidance shows limited spread, with ensemble means clustering in the upper 90s to low 100s, while soil moisture deficits from prior weeks enhance surface warming. Traders weigh the modest chance of afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could cap readings at 98-99°F (26% odds) or allow a brief push to 102-103°F (16.5%). Updated National Weather Service briefings and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日達拉斯的最高溫度？
8月5日達拉斯的最高溫度？
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 26%
102-103°F 17%
104-105°F 2%
最新
$22,457 交易量
最新
$22,457 交易量
2026-08-05
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
26%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 26%
102-103°F 17%
104-105°F 2%
最新
$22,457 交易量
最新
$22,457 交易量
2026-08-05
93°F or below
$7,248 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$1,578 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$2,779 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$1,729 交易量
26%
100-101°F
$4,545 交易量
54%
102-103°F
$1,418 交易量
17%
104-105°F
$1,232 交易量
2%
106-107°F
$490 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$539 交易量
<1%
110-111°F
$607 交易量
<1%
112°F or higher
$292 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from NOAA and regional models supports a daily high near 100°F for Dallas on August 5, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds favor strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies, pushing temperatures above the early-August climatological average of 96°F. Recent model guidance shows limited spread, with ensemble means clustering in the upper 90s to low 100s, while soil moisture deficits from prior weeks enhance surface warming. Traders weigh the modest chance of afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could cap readings at 98-99°F (26% odds) or allow a brief push to 102-103°F (16.5%). Updated National Weather Service briefings and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$22,457結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from NOAA and regional models supports a daily high near 100°F for Dallas on August 5, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds favor strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies, pushing temperatures above the early-August climatological average of 96°F. Recent model guidance shows limited spread, with ensemble means clustering in the upper 90s to low 100s, while soil moisture deficits from prior weeks enhance surface warming. Traders weigh the modest chance of afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could cap readings at 98-99°F (26% odds) or allow a brief push to 102-103°F (16.5%). Updated National Weather Service briefings and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,457結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETForecast consensus from NOAA and regional models supports a daily high near 100°F for Dallas on August 5, aligning with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds favor strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies, pushing temperatures above the early-August climatological average of 96°F. Recent model guidance shows limited spread, with ensemble means clustering in the upper 90s to low 100s, while soil moisture deficits from prior weeks enhance surface warming. Traders weigh the modest chance of afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could cap readings at 98-99°F (26% odds) or allow a brief push to 102-103°F (16.5%). Updated National Weather Service briefings and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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