Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin, Texas, points to a daily high near 99°F on August 5 under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly flow, positioning the 98-99°F bin as the market leader. This aligns with climatological August maxima around 94-97°F while reflecting a modest cooling trend after early-month heat that produced triple-digit readings. Key variables include limited moisture return that could cap afternoon temperatures and weak steering patterns favoring subsidence rather than stronger convective inhibition. Updated model runs and surface observations through early August 5 continue to support this range, though small shifts in dewpoint or cloud cover could tip probabilities toward the adjacent 100-101°F outcome before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月5日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 2.4%
最新
$10,019 交易量
最新
$10,019 交易量
2026-08-05
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
30%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
華氏108度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 30%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 2.4%
最新
$10,019 交易量
最新
$10,019 交易量
2026-08-05
89°F或以下
$684 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$716 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$605 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$351 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$1,478 交易量
9%
98-99°F
$3,314 交易量
52%
100-101°F
$800 交易量
30%
102-103°F
$728 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$642 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$415 交易量
<1%
華氏108度或更高
$287 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin, Texas, points to a daily high near 99°F on August 5 under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly flow, positioning the 98-99°F bin as the market leader. This aligns with climatological August maxima around 94-97°F while reflecting a modest cooling trend after early-month heat that produced triple-digit readings. Key variables include limited moisture return that could cap afternoon temperatures and weak steering patterns favoring subsidence rather than stronger convective inhibition. Updated model runs and surface observations through early August 5 continue to support this range, though small shifts in dewpoint or cloud cover could tip probabilities toward the adjacent 100-101°F outcome before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$10,019結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin, Texas, points to a daily high near 99°F on August 5 under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly flow, positioning the 98-99°F bin as the market leader. This aligns with climatological August maxima around 94-97°F while reflecting a modest cooling trend after early-month heat that produced triple-digit readings. Key variables include limited moisture return that could cap afternoon temperatures and weak steering patterns favoring subsidence rather than stronger convective inhibition. Updated model runs and surface observations through early August 5 continue to support this range, though small shifts in dewpoint or cloud cover could tip probabilities toward the adjacent 100-101°F outcome before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,019結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin, Texas, points to a daily high near 99°F on August 5 under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly flow, positioning the 98-99°F bin as the market leader. This aligns with climatological August maxima around 94-97°F while reflecting a modest cooling trend after early-month heat that produced triple-digit readings. Key variables include limited moisture return that could cap afternoon temperatures and weak steering patterns favoring subsidence rather than stronger convective inhibition. Updated model runs and surface observations through early August 5 continue to support this range, though small shifts in dewpoint or cloud cover could tip probabilities toward the adjacent 100-101°F outcome before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions