Official National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin converged on a peak temperature near 100–101°F on August 4 under clear skies, light southerly flow, and typical mid-summer ridge conditions, placing the day slightly above the long-term August average high of 96–98°F. This consensus, reinforced by model agreement and consistent with observed heat earlier in the week, drove near-certain market-implied odds for the 100-101°F bin. Realistic challenges include minor variations between official stations like Austin Bergstrom and other reporting sites, or last-minute adjustments from observational data revisions, though such shifts rarely exceed a degree or two once the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月4日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$31,673 交易量
$31,673 交易量
2026-08-04
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
100%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
華氏108度或更高
<1%
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$31,673 交易量
$31,673 交易量
2026-08-04
89°F或以下
$539 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$1,072 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$1,496 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$1,976 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$5,319 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$6,738 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$8,800 交易量
100%
102-103°F
$3,289 交易量
<1%
104-105°F
$1,225 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$670 交易量
<1%
華氏108度或更高
$551 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin converged on a peak temperature near 100–101°F on August 4 under clear skies, light southerly flow, and typical mid-summer ridge conditions, placing the day slightly above the long-term August average high of 96–98°F. This consensus, reinforced by model agreement and consistent with observed heat earlier in the week, drove near-certain market-implied odds for the 100-101°F bin. Realistic challenges include minor variations between official stations like Austin Bergstrom and other reporting sites, or last-minute adjustments from observational data revisions, though such shifts rarely exceed a degree or two once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$31,673結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin converged on a peak temperature near 100–101°F on August 4 under clear skies, light southerly flow, and typical mid-summer ridge conditions, placing the day slightly above the long-term August average high of 96–98°F. This consensus, reinforced by model agreement and consistent with observed heat earlier in the week, drove near-certain market-implied odds for the 100-101°F bin. Realistic challenges include minor variations between official stations like Austin Bergstrom and other reporting sites, or last-minute adjustments from observational data revisions, though such shifts rarely exceed a degree or two once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,673結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin converged on a peak temperature near 100–101°F on August 4 under clear skies, light southerly flow, and typical mid-summer ridge conditions, placing the day slightly above the long-term August average high of 96–98°F. This consensus, reinforced by model agreement and consistent with observed heat earlier in the week, drove near-certain market-implied odds for the 100-101°F bin. Realistic challenges include minor variations between official stations like Austin Bergstrom and other reporting sites, or last-minute adjustments from observational data revisions, though such shifts rarely exceed a degree or two once the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions