Official observations from Chicago Midway International Airport placed the daily maximum temperature for August 4 squarely in the 84–85 °F range, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This outcome aligns closely with long-term August normals of roughly 83–84 °F and reflects typical late-summer conditions under weak steering flow and modest surface heating. National Weather Service climatological reports serve as the definitive resolution source, minimizing forecast uncertainty once the day ends. Only a post-publication data correction or an atypical station switch could alter the result, both of which remain statistically remote given standard verification protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日芝加哥的最高溫度？
8月4日芝加哥的最高溫度？
84-85°F 100.0%
華氏75度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$37,736 交易量
$37,736 交易量
2026-08-04
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
華氏94度或更高
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
華氏75度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$37,736 交易量
$37,736 交易量
2026-08-04
華氏75度或以下
$638 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$539 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$3,190 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$2,239 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$8,405 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$8,470 交易量
100%
86-87°F
$6,680 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$3,484 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$2,709 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$741 交易量
<1%
華氏94度或更高
$643 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Chicago Midway International Airport placed the daily maximum temperature for August 4 squarely in the 84–85 °F range, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This outcome aligns closely with long-term August normals of roughly 83–84 °F and reflects typical late-summer conditions under weak steering flow and modest surface heating. National Weather Service climatological reports serve as the definitive resolution source, minimizing forecast uncertainty once the day ends. Only a post-publication data correction or an atypical station switch could alter the result, both of which remain statistically remote given standard verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$37,736結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Chicago Midway International Airport placed the daily maximum temperature for August 4 squarely in the 84–85 °F range, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This outcome aligns closely with long-term August normals of roughly 83–84 °F and reflects typical late-summer conditions under weak steering flow and modest surface heating. National Weather Service climatological reports serve as the definitive resolution source, minimizing forecast uncertainty once the day ends. Only a post-publication data correction or an atypical station switch could alter the result, both of which remain statistically remote given standard verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,736結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETOfficial observations from Chicago Midway International Airport placed the daily maximum temperature for August 4 squarely in the 84–85 °F range, producing the market’s near-certain consensus. This outcome aligns closely with long-term August normals of roughly 83–84 °F and reflects typical late-summer conditions under weak steering flow and modest surface heating. National Weather Service climatological reports serve as the definitive resolution source, minimizing forecast uncertainty once the day ends. Only a post-publication data correction or an atypical station switch could alter the result, both of which remain statistically remote given standard verification protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions