Recent forecasts from models referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather project a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 6 under persistent clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and typical Mediterranean summer insolation. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity moderate afternoon peaks, consistent with historical August averages of 30–32°C and limited model spread around these values. Trader consensus clustering on 32°C and 33°C reflects alignment with current observational trends and stable synoptic patterns, though minor upward revisions could occur if mixing weakens or if a brief ridge strengthens. Resolution depends on official peak readings before evening cooling, with low implied probabilities for extremes underscoring the narrow uncertainty range in near-term guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
32°C 59%
33°C 29%
34°C 9%
31°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
59%
33°C
29%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
33°C 29%
34°C 9%
31°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
59%
33°C
29%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather project a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 6 under persistent clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and typical Mediterranean summer insolation. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity moderate afternoon peaks, consistent with historical August averages of 30–32°C and limited model spread around these values. Trader consensus clustering on 32°C and 33°C reflects alignment with current observational trends and stable synoptic patterns, though minor upward revisions could occur if mixing weakens or if a brief ridge strengthens. Resolution depends on official peak readings before evening cooling, with low implied probabilities for extremes underscoring the narrow uncertainty range in near-term guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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