Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 5 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models consistently project a peak near that value under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and subtropical high pressure typical of early August. This aligns with observed conditions and historical climatology, where August daytime maxima average around 30–32°C but often reach 33°C in stable anticyclonic setups. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market-implied odds near 100%. A shift could occur if an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger sea breeze, or last-minute forecast revision from monitoring agencies pushes the verified high to 32°C or 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月5日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$48,836 交易量
$48,836 交易量
2026-08-05
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$48,836 交易量
$48,836 交易量
2026-08-05
28°C or below
$566 交易量
No
29°C
$1,383 交易量
No
30°C
$599 交易量
No
31°C
$2,747 交易量
No
32°C
$15,460 交易量
No
33°C
$10,824 交易量
Yes
34°C
$10,332 交易量
No
35°C
$2,595 交易量
No
36°C
$1,136 交易量
No
37°C
$425 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$2,770 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 5 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models consistently project a peak near that value under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and subtropical high pressure typical of early August. This aligns with observed conditions and historical climatology, where August daytime maxima average around 30–32°C but often reach 33°C in stable anticyclonic setups. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market-implied odds near 100%. A shift could occur if an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger sea breeze, or last-minute forecast revision from monitoring agencies pushes the verified high to 32°C or 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$48,836結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 5 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models consistently project a peak near that value under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and subtropical high pressure typical of early August. This aligns with observed conditions and historical climatology, where August daytime maxima average around 30–32°C but often reach 33°C in stable anticyclonic setups. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market-implied odds near 100%. A shift could occur if an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger sea breeze, or last-minute forecast revision from monitoring agencies pushes the verified high to 32°C or 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$48,836結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 5 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models consistently project a peak near that value under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and subtropical high pressure typical of early August. This aligns with observed conditions and historical climatology, where August daytime maxima average around 30–32°C but often reach 33°C in stable anticyclonic setups. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market-implied odds near 100%. A shift could occur if an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger sea breeze, or last-minute forecast revision from monitoring agencies pushes the verified high to 32°C or 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions