National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on August 6 point to a high in the upper 70s amid increasing clouds, scattered thunderstorms, and a southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. This setup follows several days of near- or below-normal readings, with lake moderation and moisture reducing solar insolation relative to typical early-August conditions when highs average near 83°F. Ensemble consensus shows little support for readings above 82°F, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on the 76–81°F range while assigning only marginal odds to warmer or cooler outliers. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. NWS forecast discussion represent the next key inputs likely to refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥8月6日最高溫度？
芝加哥8月6日最高溫度？
78-79°F 38%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 23%
82-83°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或以上
<1%
78-79°F 38%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 23%
82-83°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
73°F or below
$29 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$367 交易量
6%
76-77°F
$68 交易量
23%
78-79°F
$159 交易量
38%
80-81°F
$175 交易量
26%
82-83°F
$195 交易量
9%
84-85°F
$579 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$73 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$106 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$391 交易量
<1%
92°F或以上
$386 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on August 6 point to a high in the upper 70s amid increasing clouds, scattered thunderstorms, and a southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. This setup follows several days of near- or below-normal readings, with lake moderation and moisture reducing solar insolation relative to typical early-August conditions when highs average near 83°F. Ensemble consensus shows little support for readings above 82°F, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on the 76–81°F range while assigning only marginal odds to warmer or cooler outliers. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. NWS forecast discussion represent the next key inputs likely to refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$2,527結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on August 6 point to a high in the upper 70s amid increasing clouds, scattered thunderstorms, and a southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. This setup follows several days of near- or below-normal readings, with lake moderation and moisture reducing solar insolation relative to typical early-August conditions when highs average near 83°F. Ensemble consensus shows little support for readings above 82°F, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on the 76–81°F range while assigning only marginal odds to warmer or cooler outliers. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. NWS forecast discussion represent the next key inputs likely to refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,527結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNational Weather Service and private model guidance for Chicago on August 6 point to a high in the upper 70s amid increasing clouds, scattered thunderstorms, and a southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. This setup follows several days of near- or below-normal readings, with lake moderation and moisture reducing solar insolation relative to typical early-August conditions when highs average near 83°F. Ensemble consensus shows little support for readings above 82°F, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on the 76–81°F range while assigning only marginal odds to warmer or cooler outliers. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. NWS forecast discussion represent the next key inputs likely to refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions