Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Houston on August 5, 2026, with model consensus favoring 96–97 °F amid persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and elevated Gulf moisture. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 94 °F, but current surface observations and short-range model runs indicate slightly above-normal warmth before any afternoon convective development. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around 94–97 °F reflects this forecast stability, while the low probability assigned to 98 °F or higher accounts for the modest risk that reduced cloud cover or delayed sea-breeze effects could push readings marginally higher before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日休斯敦的最高溫度?
96-97°F 56%
94-95°F 35%
98-99°F 10%
92-93°F 4%
$11,736 交易量
$11,736 交易量
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
56%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F或以上
<1%
96-97°F 56%
94-95°F 35%
98-99°F 10%
92-93°F 4%
$11,736 交易量
$11,736 交易量
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
56%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Houston on August 5, 2026, with model consensus favoring 96–97 °F amid persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and elevated Gulf moisture. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 94 °F, but current surface observations and short-range model runs indicate slightly above-normal warmth before any afternoon convective development. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around 94–97 °F reflects this forecast stability, while the low probability assigned to 98 °F or higher accounts for the modest risk that reduced cloud cover or delayed sea-breeze effects could push readings marginally higher before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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