Current ensemble forecasts from European models, including the UK Met Office, center on a 32–34°C peak for Milan on August 8 under persistent high pressure and a regional heatwave, producing light winds, minimal cloud cover, and strong daytime insolation that favor these outcomes. Trader consensus aligns closely with this guidance, reflected in the market’s heaviest weighting toward 33°C (40.5%) and 34°C (27.5%), while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or sub-32°C outcomes capture remaining model spread and any late shifts in steering patterns. Historical August baselines near 28–30°C underscore the elevated anomaly, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Milan’s primary station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月8日米蘭的最高溫度？
33°C 41%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
35°C或以上 8%
最新
$12,568 交易量
最新
$12,568 交易量
2026-08-08
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
22%
33°C
41%
34°C
28%
35°C或以上
8%
33°C 41%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
35°C或以上 8%
最新
$12,568 交易量
最新
$12,568 交易量
2026-08-08
25°C or below
$514 交易量
<1%
26°C
$599 交易量
<1%
27°C
$360 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,637 交易量
<1%
29°C
$844 交易量
<1%
30°C
$646 交易量
1%
31°C
$1,948 交易量
6%
32°C
$1,342 交易量
22%
33°C
$1,389 交易量
41%
34°C
$1,286 交易量
28%
35°C或以上
$1,002 交易量
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European models, including the UK Met Office, center on a 32–34°C peak for Milan on August 8 under persistent high pressure and a regional heatwave, producing light winds, minimal cloud cover, and strong daytime insolation that favor these outcomes. Trader consensus aligns closely with this guidance, reflected in the market’s heaviest weighting toward 33°C (40.5%) and 34°C (27.5%), while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or sub-32°C outcomes capture remaining model spread and any late shifts in steering patterns. Historical August baselines near 28–30°C underscore the elevated anomaly, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Milan’s primary station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$12,568結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European models, including the UK Met Office, center on a 32–34°C peak for Milan on August 8 under persistent high pressure and a regional heatwave, producing light winds, minimal cloud cover, and strong daytime insolation that favor these outcomes. Trader consensus aligns closely with this guidance, reflected in the market’s heaviest weighting toward 33°C (40.5%) and 34°C (27.5%), while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or sub-32°C outcomes capture remaining model spread and any late shifts in steering patterns. Historical August baselines near 28–30°C underscore the elevated anomaly, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Milan’s primary station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,568結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from European models, including the UK Met Office, center on a 32–34°C peak for Milan on August 8 under persistent high pressure and a regional heatwave, producing light winds, minimal cloud cover, and strong daytime insolation that favor these outcomes. Trader consensus aligns closely with this guidance, reflected in the market’s heaviest weighting toward 33°C (40.5%) and 34°C (27.5%), while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or sub-32°C outcomes capture remaining model spread and any late shifts in steering patterns. Historical August baselines near 28–30°C underscore the elevated anomaly, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Milan’s primary station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions