Recent forecast models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate mostly sunny conditions and light winds over Ankara on August 8, supporting daytime maxima centered near 33–34°C due to strong solar insolation under stable high-pressure influence typical of midsummer continental climates. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines for early August highs around 30–32°C, with current runs showing modest positive anomalies but no extreme heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 35°C or higher. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty in peak values, keeping 33°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability while 34°C holds substantial share, reflecting traders’ weighting of official guidance and historical verification rates for similar setups.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日安卡拉的最高溫度？
8月8日安卡拉的最高溫度？
33°C 47%
34°C 34%
32°C 14%
31°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
47%
34°C
34%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 34%
32°C 14%
31°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
30°C or below
$745 交易量
1%
31°C
$595 交易量
2%
32°C
$1,129 交易量
14%
33°C
$1,209 交易量
47%
34°C
$2,617 交易量
34%
35°C
$514 交易量
2%
36°C
$454 交易量
<1%
37°C
$686 交易量
<1%
38°C
$673 交易量
<1%
39°C
$343 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$519 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate mostly sunny conditions and light winds over Ankara on August 8, supporting daytime maxima centered near 33–34°C due to strong solar insolation under stable high-pressure influence typical of midsummer continental climates. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines for early August highs around 30–32°C, with current runs showing modest positive anomalies but no extreme heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 35°C or higher. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty in peak values, keeping 33°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability while 34°C holds substantial share, reflecting traders’ weighting of official guidance and historical verification rates for similar setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$9,485結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate mostly sunny conditions and light winds over Ankara on August 8, supporting daytime maxima centered near 33–34°C due to strong solar insolation under stable high-pressure influence typical of midsummer continental climates. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines for early August highs around 30–32°C, with current runs showing modest positive anomalies but no extreme heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 35°C or higher. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty in peak values, keeping 33°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability while 34°C holds substantial share, reflecting traders’ weighting of official guidance and historical verification rates for similar setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,485結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate mostly sunny conditions and light winds over Ankara on August 8, supporting daytime maxima centered near 33–34°C due to strong solar insolation under stable high-pressure influence typical of midsummer continental climates. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines for early August highs around 30–32°C, with current runs showing modest positive anomalies but no extreme heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 35°C or higher. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty in peak values, keeping 33°C as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability while 34°C holds substantial share, reflecting traders’ weighting of official guidance and historical verification rates for similar setups.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions