Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 8 maximum will likely peak near 24–26°C amid a cooling trend following several days of 30°C-plus heat. Primary drivers include weakening high-pressure influence, increasing cloud cover that limits solar insolation, and modest northerly flow advecting cooler air. Ensemble spreads and minor differences in afternoon convection or timing of peak heating create the tight split between 24°C and 25°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting climatological August averages near 22–24°C and limited potential for rapid intensification or suppression under current synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and local observations will refine this range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日莫斯科最高溫度?
24°C 42%
25°C 41%
23°C 9%
26°C 6%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
42%
25°C
41%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 42%
25°C 41%
23°C 9%
26°C 6%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
42%
25°C
41%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 8 maximum will likely peak near 24–26°C amid a cooling trend following several days of 30°C-plus heat. Primary drivers include weakening high-pressure influence, increasing cloud cover that limits solar insolation, and modest northerly flow advecting cooler air. Ensemble spreads and minor differences in afternoon convection or timing of peak heating create the tight split between 24°C and 25°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting climatological August averages near 22–24°C and limited potential for rapid intensification or suppression under current synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and local observations will refine this range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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