Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate minimum temperatures of 28–29°C for August 10 under mainly fine skies, west-to-northwest winds, and high humidity typical of subtropical summer conditions. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29°C and 30°C because persistent anticyclonic flow and limited nocturnal radiative cooling—exacerbated by the urban heat island and elevated dew points—have sustained above-normal overnight readings amid a broader seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures. Differentiation between these bins hinges on small forecast adjustments in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the official minimum by 1°C, while the absence of tropical systems or cold-air intrusions keeps lower outcomes improbable. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will provide the key data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日香港最低溫度?
29°C 53%
30°C 45%
28°C 4%
31°C 3.3%
$42,116 交易量
$42,116 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
53%
30°C
45%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 53%
30°C 45%
28°C 4%
31°C 3.3%
$42,116 交易量
$42,116 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
53%
30°C
45%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate minimum temperatures of 28–29°C for August 10 under mainly fine skies, west-to-northwest winds, and high humidity typical of subtropical summer conditions. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29°C and 30°C because persistent anticyclonic flow and limited nocturnal radiative cooling—exacerbated by the urban heat island and elevated dew points—have sustained above-normal overnight readings amid a broader seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures. Differentiation between these bins hinges on small forecast adjustments in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the official minimum by 1°C, while the absence of tropical systems or cold-air intrusions keeps lower outcomes improbable. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will provide the key data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions