Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Wuhan on August 10, consistent with the tight clustering of leading market-implied odds. Subtropical monsoon flow, moderate humidity near 60–70%, and possible scattered convective clouds or light showers are the main variables that could trim peak solar heating and keep readings from exceeding 34°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers around 32–33°C, with urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns adding small uncertainty ranges that traders are pricing through the narrow 31–34°C band. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key data points that could shift positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日武漢氣溫最高？
8月10日武漢氣溫最高？
32°C 33%
33°C 30%
31°C 19%
34°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
33%
33°C
30%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C或以上
1%
32°C 33%
33°C 30%
31°C 19%
34°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
26°C或以下
$140 交易量
<1%
27°C
$86 交易量
1%
28°C
$43 交易量
1%
29°C
$10 交易量
1%
30°C
$88 交易量
9%
31°C
$38 交易量
19%
32°C
$30 交易量
33%
33°C
$35 交易量
30%
34°C
$294 交易量
15%
35°C
$53 交易量
2%
36°C或以上
$21 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Wuhan on August 10, consistent with the tight clustering of leading market-implied odds. Subtropical monsoon flow, moderate humidity near 60–70%, and possible scattered convective clouds or light showers are the main variables that could trim peak solar heating and keep readings from exceeding 34°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers around 32–33°C, with urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns adding small uncertainty ranges that traders are pricing through the narrow 31–34°C band. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key data points that could shift positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$839結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Wuhan on August 10, consistent with the tight clustering of leading market-implied odds. Subtropical monsoon flow, moderate humidity near 60–70%, and possible scattered convective clouds or light showers are the main variables that could trim peak solar heating and keep readings from exceeding 34°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers around 32–33°C, with urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns adding small uncertainty ranges that traders are pricing through the narrow 31–34°C band. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key data points that could shift positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$839結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Wuhan on August 10, consistent with the tight clustering of leading market-implied odds. Subtropical monsoon flow, moderate humidity near 60–70%, and possible scattered convective clouds or light showers are the main variables that could trim peak solar heating and keep readings from exceeding 34°C. Historical August climatology for the region centers around 32–33°C, with urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns adding small uncertainty ranges that traders are pricing through the narrow 31–34°C band. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key data points that could shift positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions