Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Chengdu's August 8 maximum temperature near 32–33°C, aligning with typical Sichuan basin summer conditions under moderate high pressure and high humidity. This keeps the 33°C and 32°C outcomes as market leaders at roughly 29.5% and 25.5% implied probability. Subtle differences in ensemble guidance on afternoon cloud cover, timing of scattered showers, and urban heat retention explain the close contest with 34°C (21.5%). Historical August data show highs averaging 30–34°C, with rare excursions above 35°C absent strong subsidence; traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs against these baselines ahead of final observational confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日成都最高溫度？
8月8日成都最高溫度？
33°C 30%
32°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
最新
$12,939 交易量
最新
$12,939 交易量
2026-08-08
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
26%
33°C
30%
34°C
22%
35°C
9%
36°C或更高
3%
33°C 30%
32°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
最新
$12,939 交易量
最新
$12,939 交易量
2026-08-08
26°C或以下
$637 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,263 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,275 交易量
1%
29°C
$652 交易量
1%
30°C
$468 交易量
4%
31°C
$691 交易量
9%
32°C
$1,199 交易量
26%
33°C
$2,635 交易量
30%
34°C
$1,335 交易量
22%
35°C
$749 交易量
9%
36°C或更高
$2,035 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Chengdu's August 8 maximum temperature near 32–33°C, aligning with typical Sichuan basin summer conditions under moderate high pressure and high humidity. This keeps the 33°C and 32°C outcomes as market leaders at roughly 29.5% and 25.5% implied probability. Subtle differences in ensemble guidance on afternoon cloud cover, timing of scattered showers, and urban heat retention explain the close contest with 34°C (21.5%). Historical August data show highs averaging 30–34°C, with rare excursions above 35°C absent strong subsidence; traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs against these baselines ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$12,939結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Chengdu's August 8 maximum temperature near 32–33°C, aligning with typical Sichuan basin summer conditions under moderate high pressure and high humidity. This keeps the 33°C and 32°C outcomes as market leaders at roughly 29.5% and 25.5% implied probability. Subtle differences in ensemble guidance on afternoon cloud cover, timing of scattered showers, and urban heat retention explain the close contest with 34°C (21.5%). Historical August data show highs averaging 30–34°C, with rare excursions above 35°C absent strong subsidence; traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs against these baselines ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,939結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological models place Chengdu's August 8 maximum temperature near 32–33°C, aligning with typical Sichuan basin summer conditions under moderate high pressure and high humidity. This keeps the 33°C and 32°C outcomes as market leaders at roughly 29.5% and 25.5% implied probability. Subtle differences in ensemble guidance on afternoon cloud cover, timing of scattered showers, and urban heat retention explain the close contest with 34°C (21.5%). Historical August data show highs averaging 30–34°C, with rare excursions above 35°C absent strong subsidence; traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs against these baselines ahead of final observational confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions