Recent federal indictments against former FBI Director James Comey, including April 2026 charges in North Carolina tied to a 2025 social media post, have prompted motions to dismiss on selective prosecution and First Amendment grounds under the true threats doctrine. With trial proceedings scheduled for October 2026 and appeals processes likely extending into subsequent years, the procedural timeline and high evidentiary bar for proving willful intent underpin trader consensus reflected in the 97.8% implied probability on "No." A swift guilty verdict followed by sentencing before December 31, 2026, or an unexpected plea agreement resolving charges with prison time within the resolution window, remain the primary developments that could shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
2% 機率
$156,897 交易量
$156,897 交易量
2026-12-31
是
2% 機率
$156,897 交易量
$156,897 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent federal indictments against former FBI Director James Comey, including April 2026 charges in North Carolina tied to a 2025 social media post, have prompted motions to dismiss on selective prosecution and First Amendment grounds under the true threats doctrine. With trial proceedings scheduled for October 2026 and appeals processes likely extending into subsequent years, the procedural timeline and high evidentiary bar for proving willful intent underpin trader consensus reflected in the 97.8% implied probability on "No." A swift guilty verdict followed by sentencing before December 31, 2026, or an unexpected plea agreement resolving charges with prison time within the resolution window, remain the primary developments that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
交易量
$156,897結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent federal indictments against former FBI Director James Comey, including April 2026 charges in North Carolina tied to a 2025 social media post, have prompted motions to dismiss on selective prosecution and First Amendment grounds under the true threats doctrine. With trial proceedings scheduled for October 2026 and appeals processes likely extending into subsequent years, the procedural timeline and high evidentiary bar for proving willful intent underpin trader consensus reflected in the 97.8% implied probability on "No." A swift guilty verdict followed by sentencing before December 31, 2026, or an unexpected plea agreement resolving charges with prison time within the resolution window, remain the primary developments that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$156,897結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent federal indictments against former FBI Director James Comey, including April 2026 charges in North Carolina tied to a 2025 social media post, have prompted motions to dismiss on selective prosecution and First Amendment grounds under the true threats doctrine. With trial proceedings scheduled for October 2026 and appeals processes likely extending into subsequent years, the procedural timeline and high evidentiary bar for proving willful intent underpin trader consensus reflected in the 97.8% implied probability on "No." A swift guilty verdict followed by sentencing before December 31, 2026, or an unexpected plea agreement resolving charges with prison time within the resolution window, remain the primary developments that could shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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