Recent forecast guidance and seasonal climatology drive trader consensus toward a São Paulo high of 24–26°C on August 9, with 24°C-or-below holding the highest implied probability. Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce average daily maxima near 24°C, and an extratropical cyclone plus cold front passage through early August has reinforced cooler southerly flow and limited diurnal warming. Model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs center on modest afternoon recovery to the mid-20s, while factors such as exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual frontal moisture create the narrow probability gradients across individual degree bins. Updated INMET briefings and the next model cycle ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日聖保羅的最高溫度？
8月9日聖保羅的最高溫度？
24°C or below 29%
25°C 24%
26°C 20%
28°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
24°C or below
29%
25°C
24%
26°C
20%
27°C
12%
28°C
14%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
<1%
24°C or below 29%
25°C 24%
26°C 20%
28°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
24°C or below
$466 交易量
29%
25°C
$820 交易量
24%
26°C
$241 交易量
20%
27°C
$178 交易量
12%
28°C
$146 交易量
14%
29°C
$191 交易量
8%
30°C
$85 交易量
4%
31°C
$293 交易量
2%
32°C
$12 交易量
5%
33°C
$12 交易量
4%
34°C or higher
$60 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance and seasonal climatology drive trader consensus toward a São Paulo high of 24–26°C on August 9, with 24°C-or-below holding the highest implied probability. Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce average daily maxima near 24°C, and an extratropical cyclone plus cold front passage through early August has reinforced cooler southerly flow and limited diurnal warming. Model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs center on modest afternoon recovery to the mid-20s, while factors such as exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual frontal moisture create the narrow probability gradients across individual degree bins. Updated INMET briefings and the next model cycle ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
交易量
$2,505結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance and seasonal climatology drive trader consensus toward a São Paulo high of 24–26°C on August 9, with 24°C-or-below holding the highest implied probability. Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce average daily maxima near 24°C, and an extratropical cyclone plus cold front passage through early August has reinforced cooler southerly flow and limited diurnal warming. Model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs center on modest afternoon recovery to the mid-20s, while factors such as exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual frontal moisture create the narrow probability gradients across individual degree bins. Updated INMET briefings and the next model cycle ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,505結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:01 PM ETRecent forecast guidance and seasonal climatology drive trader consensus toward a São Paulo high of 24–26°C on August 9, with 24°C-or-below holding the highest implied probability. Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce average daily maxima near 24°C, and an extratropical cyclone plus cold front passage through early August has reinforced cooler southerly flow and limited diurnal warming. Model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs center on modest afternoon recovery to the mid-20s, while factors such as exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual frontal moisture create the narrow probability gradients across individual degree bins. Updated INMET briefings and the next model cycle ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions