Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while August's rainy-season pattern typically brings afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that cap daytime maxima through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Current forecasts for August 9 center on highs of 23–25 °C (roughly 73–77 °F), with most guidance clustering near 24 °C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and late-day precipitation chances of 40–60 %. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 24 °C (45 %), followed by 23 °C and 25 °C (23 % each), as traders incorporate the consistent model consensus and absence of anomalous clear-sky or heat-wave signals that would push readings higher. Recent days have shown similar conditions with highs near seasonal norms, reinforcing the narrow probability band around these values ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城8月9日的最高溫度？
墨西哥城8月9日的最高溫度？
24°C 43%
23°C 23%
25°C 23%
22°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
23%
24°C
43%
25°C
23%
26°C
7%
27°C或以上
<1%
24°C 43%
23°C 23%
25°C 23%
22°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
17°C或以下
$226 交易量
<1%
18°C
$182 交易量
<1%
19°C
$421 交易量
<1%
20°C
$144 交易量
<1%
21°C
$333 交易量
2%
22°C
$320 交易量
7%
23°C
$235 交易量
23%
24°C
$1,182 交易量
43%
25°C
$241 交易量
23%
26°C
$361 交易量
7%
27°C或以上
$171 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while August's rainy-season pattern typically brings afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that cap daytime maxima through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Current forecasts for August 9 center on highs of 23–25 °C (roughly 73–77 °F), with most guidance clustering near 24 °C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and late-day precipitation chances of 40–60 %. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 24 °C (45 %), followed by 23 °C and 25 °C (23 % each), as traders incorporate the consistent model consensus and absence of anomalous clear-sky or heat-wave signals that would push readings higher. Recent days have shown similar conditions with highs near seasonal norms, reinforcing the narrow probability band around these values ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$3,816結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while August's rainy-season pattern typically brings afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that cap daytime maxima through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Current forecasts for August 9 center on highs of 23–25 °C (roughly 73–77 °F), with most guidance clustering near 24 °C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and late-day precipitation chances of 40–60 %. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 24 °C (45 %), followed by 23 °C and 25 °C (23 % each), as traders incorporate the consistent model consensus and absence of anomalous clear-sky or heat-wave signals that would push readings higher. Recent days have shown similar conditions with highs near seasonal norms, reinforcing the narrow probability band around these values ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,816結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETMexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while August's rainy-season pattern typically brings afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that cap daytime maxima through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Current forecasts for August 9 center on highs of 23–25 °C (roughly 73–77 °F), with most guidance clustering near 24 °C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and late-day precipitation chances of 40–60 %. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 24 °C (45 %), followed by 23 °C and 25 °C (23 % each), as traders incorporate the consistent model consensus and absence of anomalous clear-sky or heat-wave signals that would push readings higher. Recent days have shown similar conditions with highs near seasonal norms, reinforcing the narrow probability band around these values ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions