**Short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensembles currently favor a Munich maximum of 31–33 °C on 9 August 2026, under building high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that allow strong daytime solar heating.** Recent cooling from thundery showers has given way to a warming trend, with afternoon temperatures climbing steadily through the weekend and into early next week. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 33 °C (31 %) and 34 °C (29 %) because ensemble spreads show a realistic chance of either outcome depending on exact timing of any residual moisture or slight shifts in the ridge axis. Key differentiating factors include the degree of afternoon insolation versus any lingering boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C, and Munich’s urban heat-island effect that adds a small but consistent boost on clear, calm days. Model runs remain sensitive to these variables within the final 48-hour window, keeping the two leading buckets nearly even while lower outcomes (32 °C and below) attract less volume as guidance trends warmer. Updated model cycles and DWD briefings over the next day will likely narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日慕尼黑最高溫度？
8月9日慕尼黑最高溫度？
33°C 33%
34°C 29%
32°C 11%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
11%
33°C
33%
34°C
29%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 33%
34°C 29%
32°C 11%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C or below
$12 交易量
1%
28°C
$12 交易量
1%
29°C
$2 交易量
2%
30°C
$2 交易量
2%
31°C
$0 交易量
8%
32°C
$0 交易量
11%
33°C
$6 交易量
33%
34°C
$7 交易量
29%
35°C
$0 交易量
5%
36°C
$12 交易量
2%
37°C or higher
$12 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensembles currently favor a Munich maximum of 31–33 °C on 9 August 2026, under building high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that allow strong daytime solar heating.** Recent cooling from thundery showers has given way to a warming trend, with afternoon temperatures climbing steadily through the weekend and into early next week. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 33 °C (31 %) and 34 °C (29 %) because ensemble spreads show a realistic chance of either outcome depending on exact timing of any residual moisture or slight shifts in the ridge axis.
Key differentiating factors include the degree of afternoon insolation versus any lingering boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C, and Munich’s urban heat-island effect that adds a small but consistent boost on clear, calm days. Model runs remain sensitive to these variables within the final 48-hour window, keeping the two leading buckets nearly even while lower outcomes (32 °C and below) attract less volume as guidance trends warmer. Updated model cycles and DWD briefings over the next day will likely narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$64結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensembles currently favor a Munich maximum of 31–33 °C on 9 August 2026, under building high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that allow strong daytime solar heating.** Recent cooling from thundery showers has given way to a warming trend, with afternoon temperatures climbing steadily through the weekend and into early next week. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 33 °C (31 %) and 34 °C (29 %) because ensemble spreads show a realistic chance of either outcome depending on exact timing of any residual moisture or slight shifts in the ridge axis.
Key differentiating factors include the degree of afternoon insolation versus any lingering boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C, and Munich’s urban heat-island effect that adds a small but consistent boost on clear, calm days. Model runs remain sensitive to these variables within the final 48-hour window, keeping the two leading buckets nearly even while lower outcomes (32 °C and below) attract less volume as guidance trends warmer. Updated model cycles and DWD briefings over the next day will likely narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$64結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensembles currently favor a Munich maximum of 31–33 °C on 9 August 2026, under building high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that allow strong daytime solar heating.** Recent cooling from thundery showers has given way to a warming trend, with afternoon temperatures climbing steadily through the weekend and into early next week. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 33 °C (31 %) and 34 °C (29 %) because ensemble spreads show a realistic chance of either outcome depending on exact timing of any residual moisture or slight shifts in the ridge axis. Key differentiating factors include the degree of afternoon insolation versus any lingering boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C, and Munich’s urban heat-island effect that adds a small but consistent boost on clear, calm days. Model runs remain sensitive to these variables within the final 48-hour window, keeping the two leading buckets nearly even while lower outcomes (32 °C and below) attract less volume as guidance trends warmer. Updated model cycles and DWD briefings over the next day will likely narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions