Recent forecasts from AEMET and other models indicate Madrid highs near 35–37°C on August 9, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies these conditions, with typical August maxima around 33–34°C serving as a baseline; current runs show modest positive anomalies consistent with the broader warm 2026 summer pattern. Trader emphasis on 36°C and 37°C reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of significant cooling or intensification ahead of the short two-day window, though slight forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift probabilities within the 35–38°C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月9日馬德裏氣溫最高？
36°C 47%
37°C 28%
35°C 9%
38°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
9%
36°C
47%
37°C
28%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 47%
37°C 28%
35°C 9%
38°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
32°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
33°C
$65 交易量
1%
34°C
$9 交易量
3%
35°C
$348 交易量
9%
36°C
$189 交易量
47%
37°C
$357 交易量
28%
38°C
$21 交易量
6%
39°C
$182 交易量
1%
40°C
$23 交易量
1%
41°C
$11 交易量
<1%
42°C or higher
$26 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and other models indicate Madrid highs near 35–37°C on August 9, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies these conditions, with typical August maxima around 33–34°C serving as a baseline; current runs show modest positive anomalies consistent with the broader warm 2026 summer pattern. Trader emphasis on 36°C and 37°C reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of significant cooling or intensification ahead of the short two-day window, though slight forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift probabilities within the 35–38°C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,237結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and other models indicate Madrid highs near 35–37°C on August 9, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies these conditions, with typical August maxima around 33–34°C serving as a baseline; current runs show modest positive anomalies consistent with the broader warm 2026 summer pattern. Trader emphasis on 36°C and 37°C reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of significant cooling or intensification ahead of the short two-day window, though slight forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift probabilities within the 35–38°C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,237結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from AEMET and other models indicate Madrid highs near 35–37°C on August 9, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies these conditions, with typical August maxima around 33–34°C serving as a baseline; current runs show modest positive anomalies consistent with the broader warm 2026 summer pattern. Trader emphasis on 36°C and 37°C reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of significant cooling or intensification ahead of the short two-day window, though slight forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift probabilities within the 35–38°C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions