Forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 6 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions typical of the region’s continental summer climate. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping values close to seasonal averages near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C resolutions, reflected in the combined 85.5% market-implied probability for those two outcomes, while lower odds on 34°C or higher align with limited intensification potential ahead of the resolution window. Updated forecast guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日安卡拉的最高溫度?
33°C 51%
32°C 34%
31°C 7%
34°C 6%
$10,179 交易量
$10,179 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
34%
33°C
51%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 51%
32°C 34%
31°C 7%
34°C 6%
$10,179 交易量
$10,179 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
34%
33°C
51%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 6 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions typical of the region’s continental summer climate. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping values close to seasonal averages near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between 32°C and 33°C resolutions, reflected in the combined 85.5% market-implied probability for those two outcomes, while lower odds on 34°C or higher align with limited intensification potential ahead of the resolution window. Updated forecast guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions