**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daily maximum of 32°C in Ankara today (August 5, 2026), with 56.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C (26%) and 33°C (14.5%).** This distribution mirrors current official and model forecasts showing a peak near 32°C under sunny skies, clear conditions, and light winds. Ankara’s continental climate in early August typically produces highs of 30–33°C when high pressure dominates, suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation. With no significant frontal systems, precipitation, or strong advection expected, surface heating should reach but not substantially exceed this range. Hourly guidance peaks around 32°C in the afternoon before rapid evening cooling. The tight clustering of probabilities around 31–33°C reflects minor ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction models and uncertainty in the precise official station reading (e.g., Turkish State Meteorological Service at Esenboğa or central Ankara). Stable synoptic conditions over the past 48 hours have reinforced this outcome, with no recent data releases or model shifts introducing higher or lower extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日安卡拉的最高溫度？
8月5日安卡拉的最高溫度？
32°C 56%
31°C 26%
33°C 15%
30°C <1%
$20,950 交易量
$20,950 交易量
2026-08-05
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
26%
32°C
56%
33°C
15%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 26%
33°C 15%
30°C <1%
$20,950 交易量
$20,950 交易量
2026-08-05
28°C or below
$3,025 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,202 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,486 交易量
1%
31°C
$3,487 交易量
26%
32°C
$4,298 交易量
56%
33°C
$3,109 交易量
15%
34°C
$2,096 交易量
1%
35°C
$695 交易量
<1%
36°C
$663 交易量
<1%
37°C
$455 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$434 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daily maximum of 32°C in Ankara today (August 5, 2026), with 56.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C (26%) and 33°C (14.5%).** This distribution mirrors current official and model forecasts showing a peak near 32°C under sunny skies, clear conditions, and light winds.
Ankara’s continental climate in early August typically produces highs of 30–33°C when high pressure dominates, suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation. With no significant frontal systems, precipitation, or strong advection expected, surface heating should reach but not substantially exceed this range. Hourly guidance peaks around 32°C in the afternoon before rapid evening cooling.
The tight clustering of probabilities around 31–33°C reflects minor ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction models and uncertainty in the precise official station reading (e.g., Turkish State Meteorological Service at Esenboğa or central Ankara). Stable synoptic conditions over the past 48 hours have reinforced this outcome, with no recent data releases or model shifts introducing higher or lower extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$20,950結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daily maximum of 32°C in Ankara today (August 5, 2026), with 56.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C (26%) and 33°C (14.5%).** This distribution mirrors current official and model forecasts showing a peak near 32°C under sunny skies, clear conditions, and light winds.
Ankara’s continental climate in early August typically produces highs of 30–33°C when high pressure dominates, suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation. With no significant frontal systems, precipitation, or strong advection expected, surface heating should reach but not substantially exceed this range. Hourly guidance peaks around 32°C in the afternoon before rapid evening cooling.
The tight clustering of probabilities around 31–33°C reflects minor ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction models and uncertainty in the precise official station reading (e.g., Turkish State Meteorological Service at Esenboğa or central Ankara). Stable synoptic conditions over the past 48 hours have reinforced this outcome, with no recent data releases or model shifts introducing higher or lower extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,950結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daily maximum of 32°C in Ankara today (August 5, 2026), with 56.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C (26%) and 33°C (14.5%).** This distribution mirrors current official and model forecasts showing a peak near 32°C under sunny skies, clear conditions, and light winds. Ankara’s continental climate in early August typically produces highs of 30–33°C when high pressure dominates, suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation. With no significant frontal systems, precipitation, or strong advection expected, surface heating should reach but not substantially exceed this range. Hourly guidance peaks around 32°C in the afternoon before rapid evening cooling. The tight clustering of probabilities around 31–33°C reflects minor ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction models and uncertainty in the precise official station reading (e.g., Turkish State Meteorological Service at Esenboğa or central Ankara). Stable synoptic conditions over the past 48 hours have reinforced this outcome, with no recent data releases or model shifts introducing higher or lower extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions