Recent high-resolution runs from the ECMWF IFS and GFS models converge on a daytime maximum of 36–37 °C in Milan on 5 August 2026, supported by clear skies, light south-westerly flow, and warm-air advection at 850 hPa. Strong insolation under a stable high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover favor peak readings near these thresholds rather than the seasonal 28–30 °C average. Minor ensemble spread and potential for slight model bias in urban heat-island effects keep the 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes nearly even in trader pricing, with resolution hinging on official observations from stations such as Milan Linate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日米蘭的最高溫度?
36°C 51%
37°C 38%
35°C 9%
38°C 4%
$22,094 交易量
$22,094 交易量
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
51%
37°C
38%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 51%
37°C 38%
35°C 9%
38°C 4%
$22,094 交易量
$22,094 交易量
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
51%
37°C
38%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent high-resolution runs from the ECMWF IFS and GFS models converge on a daytime maximum of 36–37 °C in Milan on 5 August 2026, supported by clear skies, light south-westerly flow, and warm-air advection at 850 hPa. Strong insolation under a stable high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover favor peak readings near these thresholds rather than the seasonal 28–30 °C average. Minor ensemble spread and potential for slight model bias in urban heat-island effects keep the 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes nearly even in trader pricing, with resolution hinging on official observations from stations such as Milan Linate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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