Skip to main content
icon for 8月6日米蘭的最高溫度?

8月6日米蘭的最高溫度?

icon for 8月6日米蘭的最高溫度?

8月6日米蘭的最高溫度?

37°C 48%

36°C 39%

38°C 8%

35°C 5%

Polymarket
最新

$11,777 交易量

37°C 48%

36°C 39%

38°C 8%

35°C 5%

Polymarket
最新

$11,777 交易量

34°C or below

$800 交易量

2%

35°C

$1,609 交易量

5%

36°C

$2,304 交易量

39%

37°C

$3,078 交易量

48%

38°C

$951 交易量

8%

39°C

$801 交易量

1%

40°C

$568 交易量

<1%

41°C

$500 交易量

<1%

42°C

$317 交易量

<1%

43°C

$401 交易量

<1%

44°C或以上

$448 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure from North Africa continues to dominate northern Italy, driving clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating over the Po Valley ahead of August 6.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather project a maximum of 37°C in Milan for Thursday, consistent with the market’s leading 37°C outcome (48% implied probability) and closely followed 36°C (38%). This reflects the ongoing fourth major heatwave of summer 2026, with Italian health authorities maintaining red alerts for Milan and surrounding cities amid mid-30s readings in recent days. Urban heat-island effects and minimal cloud cover amplify peak temperatures, while model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns that could shift the high by more than 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of 36–37°C against modest chances of slight cooling or intensification, aligning with the narrow distribution around these values and very low odds for extremes above 38°C or below 35°C. Updated model runs and any last-minute changes in the anticyclone position will be the key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,777
結束日期
2026-08-06
市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure from North Africa continues to dominate northern Italy, driving clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating over the Po Valley ahead of August 6.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather project a maximum of 37°C in Milan for Thursday, consistent with the market’s leading 37°C outcome (48% implied probability) and closely followed 36°C (38%). This reflects the ongoing fourth major heatwave of summer 2026, with Italian health authorities maintaining red alerts for Milan and surrounding cities amid mid-30s readings in recent days. Urban heat-island effects and minimal cloud cover amplify peak temperatures, while model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns that could shift the high by more than 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of 36–37°C against modest chances of slight cooling or intensification, aligning with the narrow distribution around these values and very low odds for extremes above 38°C or below 35°C. Updated model runs and any last-minute changes in the anticyclone position will be the key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,777
結束日期
2026-08-06
市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月6日米蘭的最高溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "37°C" at 48%, followed by "36°C" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "8月6日米蘭的最高溫度?" has generated $11.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "8月6日米蘭的最高溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月6日米蘭的最高溫度?" is "37°C" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "36°C" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月6日米蘭的最高溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.