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icon for 8月9日會在哪裡下雨?

8月9日會在哪裡下雨?

icon for 8月9日會在哪裡下雨?

8月9日會在哪裡下雨?

最新
2026-08-10
Polymarket

$3 交易量

Polymarket

新加坡

$0 交易量

49%

雅加達

$0 交易量

50%

孟買

$0 交易量

50%

馬尼拉

$0 交易量

50%

東京

$0 交易量

51%

拉各斯

$0 交易量

49%

曼谷

$0 交易量

50%

香港

$0 交易量

51%

首爾(仁川)

$0 交易量

51%

台北

$0 交易量

50%

科倫坡

$0 交易量

51%

達卡

$0 交易量

50%

吉隆坡

$0 交易量

50%

倫敦

$0 交易量

49%

杜拜

$3 交易量

28%

聖保羅

$0 交易量

49%

雪梨

$0 交易量

51%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".A frontal boundary is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms across much of the central and eastern United States through the weekend, while high pressure maintains hot, mostly dry conditions from the Intermountain West into the central Plains. NOAA's 6–10 day outlook for August 9–13 indicates near- to above-normal rainfall probabilities over most of the contiguous U.S., with the highest chances tied to this frontal activity, contrasted by drier-than-normal conditions from eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley. Short-range models show 20–40% precipitation probabilities in the Midwest and Northeast on the 9th, with lower odds farther west; these can shift with overnight model runs from the National Weather Service. Traders should monitor updated NWS local forecasts and quantitative precipitation outlooks for resolution thresholds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.

A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.

Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$3
結束日期
2026-08-10
市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".A frontal boundary is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms across much of the central and eastern United States through the weekend, while high pressure maintains hot, mostly dry conditions from the Intermountain West into the central Plains. NOAA's 6–10 day outlook for August 9–13 indicates near- to above-normal rainfall probabilities over most of the contiguous U.S., with the highest chances tied to this frontal activity, contrasted by drier-than-normal conditions from eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley. Short-range models show 20–40% precipitation probabilities in the Midwest and Northeast on the 9th, with lower odds farther west; these can shift with overnight model runs from the National Weather Service. Traders should monitor updated NWS local forecasts and quantitative precipitation outlooks for resolution thresholds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.

A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.

Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$3
結束日期
2026-08-10
市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed city records measurable precipitation on August 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月9日會在哪裡下雨?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "東京" at 51%, followed by "香港" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"8月9日會在哪裡下雨?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "8月9日會在哪裡下雨?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月9日會在哪裡下雨?" is "東京" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "香港" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月9日會在哪裡下雨?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.