Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's overnight minimum on August 10 near 18–19°C, reflecting mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air and modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. These values align with early-August climatology, where typical lows range 14–17°C, but recent model runs show slightly reduced cooling potential from higher dew points and light winds. Trader consensus at 19°C (49%) and 18°C (33.5%) captures this tight distribution, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outliers that would require stronger high pressure or clearer skies than currently indicated. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office tonight will further refine resolution criteria based on official observations at Heathrow or St James's Park.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月10日倫敦的最低溫度？
19°C 49%
18°C 34%
20°C 11%
17°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
34%
19°C
49%
20°C
11%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或以上
<1%
19°C 49%
18°C 34%
20°C 11%
17°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
13°C or below
$229 交易量
<1%
14°C
$197 交易量
<1%
15°C
$461 交易量
1%
16°C
$223 交易量
4%
17°C
$234 交易量
6%
18°C
$3,269 交易量
34%
19°C
$623 交易量
49%
20°C
$302 交易量
11%
21°C
$210 交易量
1%
22°C
$170 交易量
<1%
23°C或以上
$213 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's overnight minimum on August 10 near 18–19°C, reflecting mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air and modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. These values align with early-August climatology, where typical lows range 14–17°C, but recent model runs show slightly reduced cooling potential from higher dew points and light winds. Trader consensus at 19°C (49%) and 18°C (33.5%) captures this tight distribution, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outliers that would require stronger high pressure or clearer skies than currently indicated. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office tonight will further refine resolution criteria based on official observations at Heathrow or St James's Park.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$6,129結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's overnight minimum on August 10 near 18–19°C, reflecting mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air and modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. These values align with early-August climatology, where typical lows range 14–17°C, but recent model runs show slightly reduced cooling potential from higher dew points and light winds. Trader consensus at 19°C (49%) and 18°C (33.5%) captures this tight distribution, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outliers that would require stronger high pressure or clearer skies than currently indicated. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office tonight will further refine resolution criteria based on official observations at Heathrow or St James's Park.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,129結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's overnight minimum on August 10 near 18–19°C, reflecting mild southwesterly flow of Atlantic air and modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. These values align with early-August climatology, where typical lows range 14–17°C, but recent model runs show slightly reduced cooling potential from higher dew points and light winds. Trader consensus at 19°C (49%) and 18°C (33.5%) captures this tight distribution, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outliers that would require stronger high pressure or clearer skies than currently indicated. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office tonight will further refine resolution criteria based on official observations at Heathrow or St James's Park.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions