Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 28°C for Toronto on August 10 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 60% chance of showers, anchoring the leading market-implied probability near 44%. This aligns with mid-August climatology where highs average 25–27°C, modulated by steering patterns and moisture from upstream systems that can add or subtract a few degrees. Recent model consensus favors stable conditions without strong warm advection, limiting upside to 29–30°C while keeping sub-27°C outcomes less favored. Updated runs from global ensembles and Environment and Climate Change Canada guidance over the next 12–24 hours represent the key data points that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日多倫多氣溫最高?
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 20%
26°C 6%
$10,702 交易量
$10,702 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 20%
26°C 6%
$10,702 交易量
$10,702 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 28°C for Toronto on August 10 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 60% chance of showers, anchoring the leading market-implied probability near 44%. This aligns with mid-August climatology where highs average 25–27°C, modulated by steering patterns and moisture from upstream systems that can add or subtract a few degrees. Recent model consensus favors stable conditions without strong warm advection, limiting upside to 29–30°C while keeping sub-27°C outcomes less favored. Updated runs from global ensembles and Environment and Climate Change Canada guidance over the next 12–24 hours represent the key data points that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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