Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 32°C high on August 10 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain chance and typical August variability around 31°C averages. Persistent cloud cover, humidity, and potential low-pressure systems or enhanced rainfall often suppress peak daytime heating below model maxima, positioning 29–31°C as the consensus range. Historical patterns during peak wet-season months show frequent moderation from convective activity, aligning trader-implied probabilities with observed maxima rather than optimistic clear-sky scenarios. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours could refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
30°C 41%
29°C 32%
31°C 17%
28°C 13%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
32%
30°C
41%
31°C
17%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
2%
30°C 41%
29°C 32%
31°C 17%
28°C 13%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
32%
30°C
41%
31°C
17%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 32°C high on August 10 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain chance and typical August variability around 31°C averages. Persistent cloud cover, humidity, and potential low-pressure systems or enhanced rainfall often suppress peak daytime heating below model maxima, positioning 29–31°C as the consensus range. Historical patterns during peak wet-season months show frequent moderation from convective activity, aligning trader-implied probabilities with observed maxima rather than optimistic clear-sky scenarios. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours could refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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