Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 8 point to a daytime high near 29°C amid the southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap temperatures. Model consensus favors this range given persistent moisture and cloud cover typical of the peak wet season, where historical August averages hover around 31°C but recent patterns show suppression by 1–2°C during active monsoon episodes. Trader emphasis on 29°C and 28°C reflects these official guidance thresholds, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ account for potential brief clearing that could allow modest warming before resolution. Updated agency briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for market settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
29°C 50%
28°C 33%
30°C 16%
31°C 3%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
33%
29°C
50%
30°C
16%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 50%
28°C 33%
30°C 16%
31°C 3%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
33%
29°C
50%
30°C
16%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 8 point to a daytime high near 29°C amid the southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms expected to limit solar heating and cap temperatures. Model consensus favors this range given persistent moisture and cloud cover typical of the peak wet season, where historical August averages hover around 31°C but recent patterns show suppression by 1–2°C during active monsoon episodes. Trader emphasis on 29°C and 28°C reflects these official guidance thresholds, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ account for potential brief clearing that could allow modest warming before resolution. Updated agency briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for market settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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