Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining hot conditions across Central Texas, with Austin forecast highs centered near 97–99°F for August 10 amid typical August climatology of 96–98°F. Persistent southerly flow advects Gulf moisture, raising humidity and limiting daytime heating through scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the mid-90s or allow clearer skies to push readings into the upper 90s. Model consensus shows low thunderstorm chances that may produce variable cloud cover, while soil moisture from recent rains slightly tempers extremes. Traders weigh these factors against historical August peaks near 99°F, producing tight odds between 96–99°F bins as resolution hinges on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing on the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
96-97°F 43%
98-99°F 35%
94-95°F 12%
90-91°F 9%
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
43%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
2%
106華氏度或以上
<1%
96-97°F 43%
98-99°F 35%
94-95°F 12%
90-91°F 9%
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
43%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
2%
106華氏度或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining hot conditions across Central Texas, with Austin forecast highs centered near 97–99°F for August 10 amid typical August climatology of 96–98°F. Persistent southerly flow advects Gulf moisture, raising humidity and limiting daytime heating through scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the mid-90s or allow clearer skies to push readings into the upper 90s. Model consensus shows low thunderstorm chances that may produce variable cloud cover, while soil moisture from recent rains slightly tempers extremes. Traders weigh these factors against historical August peaks near 99°F, producing tight odds between 96–99°F bins as resolution hinges on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing on the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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