Official meteorological data from monitoring stations in Mexico City recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on August 10, anchoring the market at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with long-term August climatology for the high-altitude capital, where daytime highs typically range 23–26°C amid the rainy season, with frequent cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent regional forecasts had highlighted potential for scattered heavy showers that day, consistent with suppressed maxima. Trader consensus reflects confidence in verified station readings resolving the market, though minor uncertainty could arise from variations across official networks or post-analysis adjustments to raw observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
8月10日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$36,782 交易量
$36,782 交易量
2026-08-10
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
25°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$36,782 交易量
$36,782 交易量
2026-08-10
18°C或以下
$473 交易量
否
19°C
$548 交易量
否
20°C
$608 交易量
否
21°C
$748 交易量
否
22°C
$2,716 交易量
否
23°C
$6,399 交易量
否
24°C
$11,729 交易量
否
25°C
$8,315 交易量
是
26°C
$2,237 交易量
否
27°C
$2,285 交易量
否
28°C或更高
$724 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological data from monitoring stations in Mexico City recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on August 10, anchoring the market at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with long-term August climatology for the high-altitude capital, where daytime highs typically range 23–26°C amid the rainy season, with frequent cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent regional forecasts had highlighted potential for scattered heavy showers that day, consistent with suppressed maxima. Trader consensus reflects confidence in verified station readings resolving the market, though minor uncertainty could arise from variations across official networks or post-analysis adjustments to raw observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$36,782結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological data from monitoring stations in Mexico City recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on August 10, anchoring the market at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with long-term August climatology for the high-altitude capital, where daytime highs typically range 23–26°C amid the rainy season, with frequent cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent regional forecasts had highlighted potential for scattered heavy showers that day, consistent with suppressed maxima. Trader consensus reflects confidence in verified station readings resolving the market, though minor uncertainty could arise from variations across official networks or post-analysis adjustments to raw observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,782結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological data from monitoring stations in Mexico City recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on August 10, anchoring the market at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with long-term August climatology for the high-altitude capital, where daytime highs typically range 23–26°C amid the rainy season, with frequent cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent regional forecasts had highlighted potential for scattered heavy showers that day, consistent with suppressed maxima. Trader consensus reflects confidence in verified station readings resolving the market, though minor uncertainty could arise from variations across official networks or post-analysis adjustments to raw observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions