Recent JMA forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high of 29–30°C for Tokyo on August 12 amid lingering influence from the strengthened Pacific High, which has driven above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu. Scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected that day could limit daytime heating and produce a slightly cooler outcome than recent peaks near 33°C. Trader consensus clustering on 27–28°C reflects these moderating factors plus historical variability in late-summer humidity and frontal activity, while the slim odds on 30°C+ acknowledge the potential for clearer skies if high pressure dominates. Updated JMA guidance and hourly observations through August 11 will further refine resolution probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日東京氣溫最高？
8月12日東京氣溫最高？
28°C 33%
27°C 27%
29°C 20%
26°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
12%
27°C
27%
28°C
33%
29°C
20%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 33%
27°C 27%
29°C 20%
26°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
23°C或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
24°C
$5 交易量
1%
25°C
$207 交易量
6%
26°C
$169 交易量
12%
27°C
$187 交易量
27%
28°C
$52 交易量
33%
29°C
$594 交易量
20%
30°C
$85 交易量
6%
31°C
$145 交易量
2%
32°C
$0 交易量
4%
33°C或以上
$374 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high of 29–30°C for Tokyo on August 12 amid lingering influence from the strengthened Pacific High, which has driven above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu. Scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected that day could limit daytime heating and produce a slightly cooler outcome than recent peaks near 33°C. Trader consensus clustering on 27–28°C reflects these moderating factors plus historical variability in late-summer humidity and frontal activity, while the slim odds on 30°C+ acknowledge the potential for clearer skies if high pressure dominates. Updated JMA guidance and hourly observations through August 11 will further refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,823結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high of 29–30°C for Tokyo on August 12 amid lingering influence from the strengthened Pacific High, which has driven above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu. Scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected that day could limit daytime heating and produce a slightly cooler outcome than recent peaks near 33°C. Trader consensus clustering on 27–28°C reflects these moderating factors plus historical variability in late-summer humidity and frontal activity, while the slim odds on 30°C+ acknowledge the potential for clearer skies if high pressure dominates. Updated JMA guidance and hourly observations through August 11 will further refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,823結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent JMA forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high of 29–30°C for Tokyo on August 12 amid lingering influence from the strengthened Pacific High, which has driven above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu. Scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected that day could limit daytime heating and produce a slightly cooler outcome than recent peaks near 33°C. Trader consensus clustering on 27–28°C reflects these moderating factors plus historical variability in late-summer humidity and frontal activity, while the slim odds on 30°C+ acknowledge the potential for clearer skies if high pressure dominates. Updated JMA guidance and hourly observations through August 11 will further refine resolution probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions