Stable summer high-pressure dominance and typical mid-August climatology in the eastern Mediterranean underpin trader consensus around 28–29°C as the most probable daily maximum for Istanbul on August 12. Official extended guidance and ensemble models cluster near 29–31°C, aligning closely with the 28–30°C historical average for the date while reflecting the seasonal decline from early-August peaks near 31°C. Light northerly flow and limited moisture advection support modest daytime heating without extremes, keeping lower or higher outliers (below 27°C or 30°C+) at minimal implied probabilities. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月12日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
28°C 71%
29°C 18%
27°C 12%
30°C <1%
最新
$20,708 交易量
最新
$20,708 交易量
2026-08-12
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
12%
28°C
71%
29°C
18%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 71%
29°C 18%
27°C 12%
30°C <1%
最新
$20,708 交易量
最新
$20,708 交易量
2026-08-12
23°C or below
$379 交易量
<1%
24°C
$434 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,302 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,275 交易量
1%
27°C
$5,085 交易量
12%
28°C
$4,310 交易量
71%
29°C
$2,363 交易量
18%
30°C
$1,414 交易量
1%
31°C
$1,672 交易量
<1%
32°C
$908 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,567 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable summer high-pressure dominance and typical mid-August climatology in the eastern Mediterranean underpin trader consensus around 28–29°C as the most probable daily maximum for Istanbul on August 12. Official extended guidance and ensemble models cluster near 29–31°C, aligning closely with the 28–30°C historical average for the date while reflecting the seasonal decline from early-August peaks near 31°C. Light northerly flow and limited moisture advection support modest daytime heating without extremes, keeping lower or higher outliers (below 27°C or 30°C+) at minimal implied probabilities. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$20,708結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable summer high-pressure dominance and typical mid-August climatology in the eastern Mediterranean underpin trader consensus around 28–29°C as the most probable daily maximum for Istanbul on August 12. Official extended guidance and ensemble models cluster near 29–31°C, aligning closely with the 28–30°C historical average for the date while reflecting the seasonal decline from early-August peaks near 31°C. Light northerly flow and limited moisture advection support modest daytime heating without extremes, keeping lower or higher outliers (below 27°C or 30°C+) at minimal implied probabilities. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,708結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable summer high-pressure dominance and typical mid-August climatology in the eastern Mediterranean underpin trader consensus around 28–29°C as the most probable daily maximum for Istanbul on August 12. Official extended guidance and ensemble models cluster near 29–31°C, aligning closely with the 28–30°C historical average for the date while reflecting the seasonal decline from early-August peaks near 31°C. Light northerly flow and limited moisture advection support modest daytime heating without extremes, keeping lower or higher outliers (below 27°C or 30°C+) at minimal implied probabilities. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions