Near-term weather model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles projects a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and clear skies that favor daytime heating without significant cloud cooling. This aligns with August climatology for the coastal plain, where average highs reach 31–32°C and the seasonal peak often occurs mid-month, though sea breezes and humidity typically cap extremes below inland values. Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com show consistency in this range with no major heat dome or anomalous warming signals noted, supporting trader focus on the 34°C and 35°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine any subtle shifts from regional flow patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
35°C 52%
34°C 37%
33°C 9%
36°C 7%
32°C或以下
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
37%
35°C
52%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
35°C 52%
34°C 37%
33°C 9%
36°C 7%
32°C或以下
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
37%
35°C
52%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Near-term weather model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles projects a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and clear skies that favor daytime heating without significant cloud cooling. This aligns with August climatology for the coastal plain, where average highs reach 31–32°C and the seasonal peak often occurs mid-month, though sea breezes and humidity typically cap extremes below inland values. Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com show consistency in this range with no major heat dome or anomalous warming signals noted, supporting trader focus on the 34°C and 35°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine any subtle shifts from regional flow patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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