Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 35°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 11 because official forecasts from AccuWeather, timeanddate, and the Met Office converge on a daytime maximum of 33–35°C under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds. Typical August climatology for the coastal plain places average highs near 30–31°C, so current model guidance reflects modest above-normal warmth driven by stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover rather than an extreme heatwave. Recent runs show little disagreement among ensembles, keeping 34°C and 36°C outcomes as secondary possibilities while suppressing odds for 37°C or higher. Final resolution will hinge on the official Israel Meteorological Service reading, with any late-day sea-breeze strengthening the main variable that could cap the maximum near 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
35°C 61%
36°C 29%
34°C 5%
37°C 2.2%
$33,495 交易量
$33,495 交易量
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
61%
36°C
29%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C或以上
<1%
35°C 61%
36°C 29%
34°C 5%
37°C 2.2%
$33,495 交易量
$33,495 交易量
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
61%
36°C
29%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 35°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 11 because official forecasts from AccuWeather, timeanddate, and the Met Office converge on a daytime maximum of 33–35°C under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds. Typical August climatology for the coastal plain places average highs near 30–31°C, so current model guidance reflects modest above-normal warmth driven by stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover rather than an extreme heatwave. Recent runs show little disagreement among ensembles, keeping 34°C and 36°C outcomes as secondary possibilities while suppressing odds for 37°C or higher. Final resolution will hinge on the official Israel Meteorological Service reading, with any late-day sea-breeze strengthening the main variable that could cap the maximum near 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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