Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate a high of 24–25°C in Warsaw on August 13 under partly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily maxima typically range 23–26°C amid stable high-pressure conditions. Model consensus supports modest daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that would suppress temperatures. Trader positioning around 24°C reflects these short-range guidance runs, with narrower probabilities for 23°C or 25°C capturing minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Updated NWP outputs ahead of resolution will refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日華沙的最高溫度?
24°C 50%
23°C 29%
25°C 14%
22°C 4%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
29%
24°C
50%
25°C
14%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 29%
25°C 14%
22°C 4%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
29%
24°C
50%
25°C
14%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate a high of 24–25°C in Warsaw on August 13 under partly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily maxima typically range 23–26°C amid stable high-pressure conditions. Model consensus supports modest daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that would suppress temperatures. Trader positioning around 24°C reflects these short-range guidance runs, with narrower probabilities for 23°C or 25°C capturing minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Updated NWP outputs ahead of resolution will refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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