Recent forecast updates indicate a ridge of high pressure settling over southern England, supporting mostly sunny conditions and daytime maxima centered around 25°C for London on August 11. Numerical weather prediction models show consensus for highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with the market's highest implied probabilities on 25°C and 26°C outcomes. A warming trend through early August has lifted readings above long-term seasonal averages near 22–23°C, though variable cloud or light showers could cap peaks. New model runs and official guidance from the Met Office will provide the next key updates ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月11日倫敦的最高溫度？
25°C 47%
26°C 27%
24°C 17%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
17%
25°C
47%
26°C
27%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 27%
24°C 17%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
20°C或以下
$428 交易量
<1%
21°C
$743 交易量
<1%
22°C
$109 交易量
1%
23°C
$165 交易量
2%
24°C
$321 交易量
17%
25°C
$400 交易量
47%
26°C
$594 交易量
27%
27°C
$223 交易量
9%
28°C
$63 交易量
2%
29°C
$45 交易量
1%
30°C或以上
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates indicate a ridge of high pressure settling over southern England, supporting mostly sunny conditions and daytime maxima centered around 25°C for London on August 11. Numerical weather prediction models show consensus for highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with the market's highest implied probabilities on 25°C and 26°C outcomes. A warming trend through early August has lifted readings above long-term seasonal averages near 22–23°C, though variable cloud or light showers could cap peaks. New model runs and official guidance from the Met Office will provide the next key updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,132結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates indicate a ridge of high pressure settling over southern England, supporting mostly sunny conditions and daytime maxima centered around 25°C for London on August 11. Numerical weather prediction models show consensus for highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with the market's highest implied probabilities on 25°C and 26°C outcomes. A warming trend through early August has lifted readings above long-term seasonal averages near 22–23°C, though variable cloud or light showers could cap peaks. New model runs and official guidance from the Met Office will provide the next key updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,132結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast updates indicate a ridge of high pressure settling over southern England, supporting mostly sunny conditions and daytime maxima centered around 25°C for London on August 11. Numerical weather prediction models show consensus for highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with the market's highest implied probabilities on 25°C and 26°C outcomes. A warming trend through early August has lifted readings above long-term seasonal averages near 22–23°C, though variable cloud or light showers could cap peaks. New model runs and official guidance from the Met Office will provide the next key updates ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions